Champions League Semi Final Tips First Leg

By | April 23, 2018

Been a while since I wrote anything. Will be writing more next season. This week is the first leg of the Champions League Semi-finals. Betting wise, these picks are quite simple and fairly obvious, if you look at recent form and how the teams have been playing.

Tuesday 24th April 2018 Liverpool vs Roma

Liverpool are strong favourites here and rightly so. The knocked the previous tournament favourites, Manchester City, by beating them comprehensively over the 2 legs. I think they are the team to beat this year and should be clear favourites, especially since they have an easier route to the final.

Liverpool are sitting comfortably in the league in 3rd. They effectively gave up second place after losing to Manchester United the other week. They rested players in their last game against West Brom which they drew 2-2. They'll be fresh and up for this game.

Roma sit in 3rd in Serie A, a long way from the run away leaders, Juventus and Napoli. They did manage to knock out Barcelona though but from what I heard, it was more that Barcelona were happy to sit on their 4-1 home win and managed to lose 3-0. Serie A isn't a strong league at all.

I really fancy Liverpool to win this by a couple of goals and put the tie to bed. Asian handicap is -1 @ 1.88 which I like at Bet365

Wednesday 25th April 2018 Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid

Bayern have walked the Bundesliga again. They have demolished all comers. Last round in the Champions League wasn't plain sailing though. They luckily won away at Seville and played out a 0-0 in the return leg. Seville aren't a great side either, struggling to get 7th in La Liga.

Real Madrid are struggling. They really struggled against Juventus in the last round, needing a late penalty to get through, with the way the game was going, Juventus would have probably gone through if it went to extra time. In the league, they are well behind the leaders and struggled to get a point at home vs Athletic Bilbao. They have raised their game in the Champions League but I think this will be a bridge too far.

Its Bayern all the way for me. I would personally have them at odds on so 2.05 at Bet365 is great.

Current odds at Bet365 are

Liverpool 1.53, draw 4.5 and Roma 6.5

Bayern Munich 2.05 Draw 3.75 and Real Madrid 3.75

Fro winning it all, I'd suggest Liverpool at 3.25. Whoever they face in the final, you have got to think that they'll beat them.

Odds are 3.25 at Bet365

*odds correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Liverpool specials at Bet Victor

By | June 3, 2017

Liverpool FC are now sponsored by Betvictor. They have a full page of specials that they have priced up. They are 13.0 to win the league which isn't going to happen. The old joke is that all bookies profit comes from Liverpool fans betting on them to win the league. Arsenal probably contribute some to be fair though.

Liverpool specials

Goal scorers over odds

Sadio Mane Over Premier League Goals 2017/18 – 14 or more
Mohamed Salah Over Premier League Goals 2017/18 – 11 or more
Philippe Coutinho Over Premier League Goals 2017/18 – 12 or more
Roberto Firmino Over Premier League Goals 2017/18 – 13 or more
Dominic Solanke Over Premier League Goals 2017/18 – 5 or more
Adam Lallana Over Premier League Goals 2017/18 – 8 or more

All those are 2.0.

Liverpool Premier League Top Scorer 2017/18

Sadio Mane 3
Mohamed Salah 4
Roberto Firmino 4
Divock Origi 9
Daniel Sturridge 9
Phillippe Coutinho 9
Dominic Solanke 21
Danny Ings 34
Georginio Wijnaldum 51
Adam Lallana 51
James Milner 67
Jordan Henderson 67

To win a trophy?
Not To Win Any Major Trophy 17/18 @ 1.364
To Win Any Major Trophy 17/18 @ 3

No has got to be the bet there.

Spotted this one too.
To go unbeaten at home during Premier League 17/18 @ 13
Probably better off betting on them double chance or draw no bet every week and rolling up the stakes but its one maybe to put £2 on for fun if you are a Liverpool fan.

Sign up here and bet.

Champions League Final Tips

By | May 31, 2017

Saturday is the final of arguably the finest football tournament in the world. Real Madrid take on Juventus in Cardiff. Its been a cracking tournament and the final is between arguably the best two teams in Europe at the moment. Perhaps the mighty Bayern Munich should be here instead of Real but they are certainly the top 3 teams in Europe now.

Madrid, I think were lucky to get past Bayern. A couple of sending offs really did help them. They were fortunate to have killed the tie off with Atletico at home too as they were heavily under pressure in the return leg. Madrid have been free scoring but they haven't come across this Juventus team who are really tight. The only conceded two in the group stages and shut out Barcelona over 2 legs. Barcelona didn't even look like scoring in the whole 90 minutes. They only conceded one to Monaco in the knock out stages.

In terms of who is going to win this, you could make an argument either way. I do prefer Juventus though. They are hard to break down and Dybala is one of the best strikers I've seen this year. Ronaldo getting a little old now and not banging them in as much as he has done in previous seasons. I'd price this up as a coin toss type of bet. Any of the 3 results wouldn't be a surprise.

Looking at the way Madrid are slight favourites, it makes sense to oppose them for the value. On the Asian Handicap you can get Juventus +0 at 2.07. Draw no bet which is the same is only 1.9.

At bet365 they have the bore draw offer too. I can see this being a tight game with a single goal deciding it. Juventus 1-0 is 8.0 whereas Madrid 1-0 is 7.5. If you bet on these and it ends 0-0 you get your money back.

Bet at Bet365

FA Cup Final

By | May 26, 2017

Last weekend was a great one for punters. All the favourites won. Arsenal were a little iffy in play with the man being sent off but came through comfortably in the end. Chelsea went behind to Sunderland before battering them.

This weekend is the FA Cup. I quite like the look of Chelsea. They've been the better team all season and even though Arsenal went on a little run of 5 straight wins to narrowly miss out on 4th, they've not been great at all season. They were lucky to beat City in the last round whereas Chelsea, even though outclassed managed to win. Conte got his tactics spot on.

The price at the moment for Chelsea is great at 1.83. I was expecting more like 1.7. I can't see that price lasting.

At the moment, Paddypower and Bet Victor both have 1.83. However, may as well bet at Paddypower as you get paid out straight away if Chelsea go 2 up. Doesn't happen very often that a team goes two up and doesn't win so the insurance isn't as good as it sounds but it will stop you having to cash out if Chelsea go 2-0 up, Arsenal get back to 2-1 and Chelsea are hanging on at the end. Unlikely though but may as well have the insurance.