Monthly Archives: August 2014

In-Play goals goals goals=money money money

By | August 31, 2014

Everton 3-6 Chelsea!! Who would have predicted that?! Well not me, but I certainly got a whole lost of money back for seeing the game develop into one where goals were just going to keep coming….Over the last couple of weeks I've started to notice that there can be money earned in the in-play overs market for goals, if you chose the right games, and bet at the right time. This culminated in a huge win yesterday during the Everton Chelsea game, however I have won quite a few in this market since the season started.

So what are the ‘rules'? Ideally you will be watching the game, however that isn't always the case. I look for games where there have already been goals and look to place mid way (70 minutes+)through the second half or If you notice the game really opening up. One thing I have noticed is that the bookies don't really respond to this, the odds for more goals will generally stay the same regardless of how open the game is. Another key thing to look for is that the away team is winning (if the teams are similar standards) or if the away team is expected to win and the home team is ahead, this can be a good indicator to more goals. The reason I look for the above is the psychology of the game. If an away team is winning the pressure is automatically on the home team due to fan pressure to push for an equalizer, which inflates the chance of them scoring but also and often what happens the chance of the away team catching them on the break. For this reason I tend to stick to just overs rather than focus on home or away. I.E. It's 1-2 and you will look for the over 3.5 goals market not over 1.5 home or over 2.5 away.

Moreover, look for teams you know will attack, and don't just stick to the English league. Germany is a good attacking league with plenty of goals, as can the Spanish league can be. Bayern, Dortmund, Real and Barca will all score a lot of goals, for instance, but they are always laible to let goals in, due to their attacking intent…… If your really adventurous have a look in the south American Leagues! I have seen some crazy results here, but il be honest my knowledge of these teams isn't great, but i do know they like a few goals!

In terms of odds il always look for around evs. From 70 minutes on you will usually get that and you will be surprised by how many 90th minute goals you see. The best bookies for this market I use are 888sport and Bet365. Bet365 have a massive amount of inplay markets and cover more games than most whilst 888 offer good odds. Moreover, both settle bets within a minute or 2 of the goals going in which gives the opportunity to more than double your money should you fancy another goal. A lot of bookies won't credit until the game has finished.

So coming full circle this leads back to the Everton 3-6 Chelsea game from yesterday. When the teams came out in the second half it was clear that it was going to be an open game. I fancied at least 2 more goals and for Everton to bag another so I placed the bottom 2 bets (see below). Then the game went 2-3 and Everton were pilling forward with Chelsea looking dangerous on the break. With profit to work with i bet £75 for over 5.5, and then Chelsea made it 2-4! I was buzzing at this point, but Everton still Kept going forward so i thought id do the same again, and again, and again! Its very rare these games come along but when they do, its happy days.

So if you fancy a dabble, good luck, and i hope you come across a similar game and clean up!!

 

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August 30th Tips

By | August 30, 2014

The last week has proved to be a very fruitful one in terms of my tips. Starting with Swansea and a late plunge on forest as well as money back on the 4-fold with just Southampton letting me down last Saturday. From there I've had a great week with PSV, Forest (again), Bradford, Spurs and Villarreal HT-FT double and Dortmund HT all landing with very little losses in between. There is a nice bit of form starting to pan out, which makes things a lot easier when tipping the weekends games.

In the Premier League this weekend there are 2 standout games to look at in terms of value. Swansea are the first and are my bet of the day. They made it 2/2 when landing a comfortable home win against Burnley last weekend, and are at home again today to West Brom. Swansea (10-11 with Hills and Coral) are decent odds to make it 3/3 and i cant see West Brom really troubling them. I also like the look of Newcastle (17-20 with Bet Victor) who are at home to a club in trouble in Crystal Palace. Newcastle are strong at home, and have made some nice signings in the summer. The only thing that is slightly putting me off is the Neil Warnock syndrome, and he is often one to scrape a result when it looks less than likely. Away from here Man City are clearly likely to beat Stoke at The Etihad, but at 1-5 are no odds for a single, but nice for a boost on any accys that you are thinking of.

Bet of the day Swansea to beat West Brom £50 10-11 (Hills).

In the Championship we are looking at the same teams as usual for me! Derby and Forest have started the season as i predicted the strongest. Derby are today at home to Ipswich and at 17-20 (Bet Victor) are nice odds to win again. Forest (13/8 with betfred) are away to Sheffield Wednesday in the early kick-off. Wednesday have surprised a few with their start this season, especially winning at Boro last week. However, Forest are flying at the moment and i have a feeling they can come away with 3 points today.

League 1 looks very tight today with the stronger teams facing tough games against each other. If i was to pick any it would be Bradford, who i like the look of early season and play against Rochdale who will be fighting it out at the bottom of league this season, and at 2-1 with Hills are good odds to win that.

League 2 is the destination of my final tip which makes up my 4-fold bet. Bury (13-20 Betway) have started the season well, and are at home to second from bottom of the table Accrington Stanley. This should be a nice comfortable win for Bury and hopefully the final piece to a winning Ladbrokes 4-fold!!

Swansea, Manchester City, Derby, Bury 4-fold accy £25 with Ladbrokes 6.47 *money back if 1 team fails to win*

good luck

Jared

30th August Betting Tips

By | August 29, 2014

Having mentioned the good double at 1.8 for Spurs and Chelsea I got a little greedy (again).  My fingers keep getting burnt by going for the bigger money doubles and trebles. I am like a blind man in a dark room looking for a black hat that's not there when it comes to the doubles and trebles.  On a brighter note I am 3 from 3 on my NAPS (5.6 accumulative odds).  Let's hope that we can keep the NAPS going.  This week I am adopting a slightly different strategy.  I am picking my usual nap and then adding only one more team.  One Single at £100 and one double at £50.  So, here goes……………..

Millwall Vs Blackpool (Millwall to win at 5/6 with Hills) NAP

Whilst Millwall seem to be doing better on the road than at home.  Last season Millwall beat Blackpool 3-1 at home.  The side Holloway left at Blackpool only has one player that was there under his charge.  Despite this, I can see Holloway wanting to do a number on his former club.  Millwall will make lots of changes to the two nil defeat to Southampton.  I really can't see this being the game where Blackpool pick up their first points of the season.  Blackpool still have several players out and their season is going to be all up hill.

Doncaster Vs Oldham (Doncaster to win at 13/10)

Doncaster have got off to a good start, apart from their 3-1 home defeat to Port Vale.  Dickov will have tightened up defensively with all the goals coming from set pieces.  The price is excellent and this is a big reason why I am including them in my double this week.  I think if Doncaster can keep in form striker Jonathan Forte at bay then it could be a comfortable victory.

My bets

£100 Millwall to win (5/6 with Hills)

£50 Double Millwall and Doncaster  (4.21 with Hills)

 

William hill accumulator week 3

By | August 23, 2014

Last week we got a little closer but not enough to get the free bet. It will a little ambitious though. This week is a little less ambitious so hopefully it'll come in.

Ryan
Chelsea to beat Leicester
Wimbledon to beat Hartlepool.

Ben
Swansea to beat Burnley
Wigan to beat Blackpool

Matt
Millwall to beat Rotherham
Forest to beat Reading

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