Monthly Archives: November 2014

November 15th Betting tips

By | November 15, 2014

Last weekend was an up and down affair with the bets of the day landing and covering my other bets. I had 2/3 land in a treble but west ham were held 0-0 although really should have won the game. Rochdale went down to 10 men after just 15 minutes against Northampton which meant they could only draw also. However, we still have a nice bit of profit rolling over the last few weeks, and overall are £230 up for the season.

This weekend is the international break, so we don't have as many fixtures as usual to chose from, however i've pulled out a few nice little nibbles for you. In League 1 there are 3 stand out fixtures thats i've picked out. Oldham are one of the most consistent teams in the division. They are currently on a run where they have won each of their last 4 home games. They are at home to a very average Crawley team who are without an away win their last 7. Oldham however are only 6-10 so at that odds i'm not interested. Preston are a regular pick for me, and today are at home to Bradford. Preston have also won their last 4 at home, however, they have also lost their last 2 away from home, and Bradford are no mugs. So, although i fully expect Preston to win, at 7-10, again the odds are a little short for me. The bet of the day in league 1 comes at Vale Park. Rochdale (yes again!) are away to Port Vale. Rochdale have won their last 3 away from home, and are as I've said before are one of the best away teams in the country. They are 13-8 to win today, and although Port Vale's home form is good, i still fancy Dale to win this.

Rochdale to beat Port Vale £25 at 13-8 (BetVictor)

In league 2 there are also 3 games i like the look of. Todays games see a lot of teams near the top playing those a t the bottom, which makes things a little easier. The first of these is Shreswbury who are at home to Mansfield. The Shrews have won their last 3 at home and are unbeaten in 8, and they play Mansfield who sit just above the The relegation zone. Shrewsbury are only 3-5 and for this reason they make up the first part of a double today. The Second part is Southend. Southend sit 7th in the league, but have yet to really get going in my opinion. They have one of the strongest squads in the division, and will be pushing for automatic come the end of the season. They are at home to Hartlepool today, who are the worst team in the league, and who i actually backed for relegation. Southend are 4-6 for the single and in the double it makes a tidy little 2.62 effort. My final bet from the league games today comes from Luton. Luton are in fine form at the moment and at home have won their last 6. They are a great price at 6-5 with Boylesports to win at home to second from bottom Tranmere today.

Shrewsbury to beat Mansfield and Southend to beat Hartlepool, £25 double at 2.62 with Paddypower

Luton to beat Tranmere £25 single at 6-5 with Boylesports.

All my league bets today are relatively small stakes. This is due to 2 reasons. 1 because they are lower league and these games can be less predictable that the top games, and secondly due to the international break. Not many teams in league 2 will have players on internatonal duty, however in league 1 there are a few and this can obviously have an effect.

In terms of the International games, there aren't too many that have caught my eye, however, today i think there is money to be made on the England game-yes thats correct England! They are 4-11 to win at home to Slovenia, which in itself isnt amazing, however, i think they will win by 2-3 clear goals today. England are 11-10 on the handicap at minus 1. For me that is great odds and i really fancy it, and i make that todays bet of the day.

England to beat Slovenia with -1 handicap £50 11/10 Paddypower.

good luck today.

Betting Tips November 15th

By | November 14, 2014

I entered last weekend with some trepidation.  I did say I wasn't confident and you should tread carefully.  Takes my NAP total to just 10 from 13 now.  All things considered, a loss of £35 for the Saturday fixtures wasn't too bad.

Premier league last week was as I thought and not many goals.  Southampton and Man Utd managed to win at just under even money.  It's a rest for the Premier boys and The Championship this weekend due to the international fixtures.  The least said about the FA Cup tips last weekend the better.  I can't see any value at all in the Internationals apart from I have backed the Germany game to be less than 8.5 goals, this is in running as I type so I won't include this on the spreadsheet.

It leaves me with the lower two English leagues to go at.  League one sees rampant away team Rochdale at 13/8 (BetFred) to beat Port Vale.  The odds seem good and Rochdale are great on the road.  Port Vale have picked up 11 points from 8 games at home this season.  Rochdale must be considered.  Preston 7/10 (William Hill) against a woeful Bradford team.  Despite this been a bit lower odds than I would normally NAP, I can't see past Preston in this one.  They have had a lot of games on the road lately and they will be glad to get back to Deepdale.

League Two –  Plymouth and Portsmouth is an interesting game.  Plymouth are just nicking low scoring games and Portsmouth games have goals in them.  This is the early kick off of the day and I can see Plymouth sneaking this one.  Odds of 13/10 for Plymouth (Bet 365) are good enough to tempt me with a little flutter on them.  Accrington are away to Carlisle and are a fantastic price at 5/2 (BetFred)  or a more conservative 6/4 (William Hill) for Draw No Bet.  Whilst Carlisle have taken 9 points from the last 6 games they have beat the bottom 2 and a poor Oxford team.  The 5/2 is a great price and I won't be losing out on it.  Luton Vs Tranmere and Luton are 6/5 (William Hill).  This makes me very suspicious.  The most in form team (over the last 6 games) against the worst.  How can you turn Luton down at that price?  Although this is reminiscent of the other week when Walsall turned over Notts County at  price (for County) that most thought was too good to be true.

Darts – Taylor is absolutely flying in the Grand Slam and I have had £100 at 6/4 Skybet (Quarter Final Stages) that he wins it outright.  MVG is a little off form and Taylor looks pumped.

My apologies for a slightly shorter post than most weeks (although some of you may be relieved), but there are not enough games to be getting my teeth into.  That said, I have picked out quite a few nice tasty tit-bits to be having a good punt on.

MY BETS

Taylor to win Grand Slam – £100 Skybet at 6/4

Rochdale – £25 Betfred at 13/8

Preston – £75 William Hill at 7/10

Plymouth – £25 Bet365 at 13/10

Accrington – £50 BetFred at 5/2

Luton – £75 William Hill at 6/5

Good Luck, some beautiful prices to be had this week.  Enjoy.

Betting Tips November 8th

By | November 7, 2014

10 out of 12 NAPS and £103.75 profit for the weekend. £158.58 up in total.  Things are looking up.  I also had some extra on Bournemouth in running but I only add to the spreadsheet the bets I post.  That way you have total transparency of everything I am doing.

My premier league write up last weekend was on the nose with Arsenal and Chelsea winning and Newcastle beating Liverpool.  Sadly I didn't have any courage in my convictions.  Championship NAP of Bournemouth came in (just).  League one I predicted a tough game for Preston at Rochdale and they lost 3-0.  Sadly my Chesterfield mention proved correct about them needing to up their game, letting down the sixfold for over £500.  New manager syndrome for Port Vale was a correct prediction too with a 2-1 victory away to Colchester.  Sadly the only error came from Sheffield United not being able to get a result in the Yorkshire Derby.  Typically they were in my 3 doubles and treble.

So……to this weeks games.  It sees the FA Cup first round and the top two divisions in action.  I have done well in the past during the FA Cup early games.  You get better odds on ht ft and high placed league teams sometimes offer value against lower teams.

The Premier League first bet is a Paddy Power special and I think it offers great value with a nice safety net.  The early kick off is Liverpool Vs Chelsea and the Special One's team are 13/10 to beat an out of sorts Liverpool side.  Paddy Power are offering money back as a free bet up to £50 on W/D/W bets if the match ends in a draw.  I would expect the odds to be lower because of this offer but they are best priced.  I am all over this and have had the maximum £50 on Chelsea.  The two obvious choices are Man Utd and Southampton but they offer less than an even money double so I will be leaving this one.  I don't expect many goals in the Premier League this weekend and expect a few draws.  I will just be having the Paddy Power special in The Premier League this weekend.

Championship important fixtures see 3rd Vs 5th and 4th Vs 6th.  Only Reading and Leeds are the odds on teams, Leeds odds on?!  They are at home to Blackpool and this is probably the only fixture that would see them odds on.  It still won't be a game I am involved in.  In fact, it won't be a league I am involved in due to the fact that all fixtures should be quite tight.

So to the FA Cup fixtures.  There are bound to be a few upsets, I just hope I am not on the receiving end of one.  I have been looking round for value and this is what I have found.  My Blog this week is slightly strange, I am giving you a bit of advice on what games might be best to avoid and not necessarily the teams to back.

Bury Vs Hemel Hempstead, Bury were knocked out last year to non-league opposition and hopefully they won't end up on the losing end again.  They are doing well in League Two and HH are struggling in the Conference South.  Odds of 2/7 are not great but 4/5 (Boylesports) HT/FT offers value. Dagenham Vs Southport could be the shock of the round and 5/1 for Southport offers a bit of value.  Dagenham are struggling in Division Two with just one victory in six.  I did toy with Luton to beat Newport County at 23/20 (Hills) but Newport are on a great run so I will avoid this one.  Mansfield are at home to Concord Rangers and can't buy a win at the minute.  Concord Rangers have the young Arsenal keeper on loan, Josh Vickers.  2/5 is too short for me.  Plymouth unbeaten at home in 9 and are up against a strong non-league team who have lost one in the last 10 and won 9, again a price of 4/9 for Plymouth (Hills) is too short.  Southend Vs Chester is my second tip.  Chester are mid table but closer to the bottom than the top.  Southend at 2/5 (Ladbrokes) is again too short but 21/20 HT/FT (Boylesports) will be my bet in this one.  Southend aren't in the best of form but should have enough in this one and are my NAP (albeit slightly reluctantly).

In all honesty, despite recent cup betting success, I am not overly confident about this weekend.

My Bets

Chelsea £50 Paddy Power 13/10

Bury HT/FT £50 Boylesports 4/5

Southend HT/FT £50 Boylesports 21/20

The HT/FT double pays 3.69 but I will avoid it this week…..I think we know the script.

Tread carefully this week.  Many games that could go either way.

8th November Tips

By | November 7, 2014

Another strong week last week saw profit rise further. I landed the combination of 3 championship singles and the treble. The Notts County bet was very disappointing, however. The odds looked too good to be true, and the in-play markets showed that something was a-miss with this game. I wont dwell on this however as we still came out on top. Lets keep the ball rolling this week with some more stunners!

The bet of the day comes in the Premier League. Tomorrow's lunchtime kick-off see's Chelsea go to Anfield. Chelsea (13-10) are fantastic odds considering the 2 teams contrasting form and success this season. Chelsea have been by far the best team in the league this season, and Liverpool have been nothing more than average. I expected Chelsea to be odds on for this, so i will lump on them to win this. Chelsea are unbeaten away from home all season and average 2.2 points per game. They should have won their last away game at Old Trafford, and would have be it not for a last minute RVP equaliser. In contrast Liverpool only average 1 goal per game at home and have failed to win against the likes of Hull and Villa at Anfield. Another good bet in the PL comes at Upton Park where West Ham entertain Villa. Villa have the worst form in the league at the moment having lost their last 6 games. Furthermore, i have seen them play 3 of these games and they have been very average. On the flip side, West Ham have been one of the surprise teams this season. Their new attacking style has delighted the home fans, and Big Sam seems to have won a lot of people over. The Hammers have won their last 3 home games, and at 3-4 are pretty good odds to win this. The odds are a little short for a single, but i will be adding this to 2 other home games to complete a tasty treble.

The Championship offers its usual array of games that could go either way, and despite last weeks triumph there are no bets i overly fancy tomorrow. I like the look of Reading at home to Charlton, however, Charlton draw a lot of games and are tight at the back, so could see them getting a point here which puts me off this. There are no other games i like the look of here, so its a little short i know, but that's my judgement of these group of fixtures, and with gambling its sometimes as much about the games you don't do, as it is about the games you do. It's a fine margin between picking those games you stick your neck out for and actually back, and those that are best watched.

There are no league 1 or 2 games tomorrow, as its FA cup weekend! There are the usual mix of potential banana skins, those games that look nailed on wins and a few games that could go either way. To start with I've picked out 2 home games to join West ham for my tasty treble! The first of these comes with Plymouth Argyle(2-5) who are playing at home to the mighty ‘AFC Fylde'. Nothing against all you Flyde fans, but i have never heard of you. My non-league knowledge isn't amazing, but i know a lot of clubs, and this isn't one of them. For that reason i have to go with the bigger club to take a comfy win, Plymouth. The final piece of this treble comes at Luton. Luton (6-5) have been flying of late and are at home to Newport County. This game pits together 2 League 2 clubs. Although its a cup game, the rules don't change and i expect Luton to continue their recent form. They have won their last 4 at home, and have not lost in 10 league games.

My final bet of the day comes with a current favorite team in Rochdale. That truly unfashionable team have done me proud twice this season at big odds, and tomorrow, although the odds aren't as big, 6-5 is still good odds in a game against lower league opposition. Rochdale have 1 of the best away form records in the country, and playing away at Northampton i fully expect them to continue that form. Dale have won 5 of their last 6 away from home, averaging 2.7 goals per game. you truly cant argue with those stats, and 6-5 is sexy odds!!

Chelsea to beat Liverpool £75 13-10 Paddy Power

Tasty Treble: West Ham to beat Villa, Plymouth to beat Flyde and Luton to beat Newport £25 treble 5.42 William Hill

Rochdale to beat Northampton £75 single 6/5 Bet 365.

Good luck