Monthly Archives: March 2015

March 28th Football Betting Tips

By | March 27, 2015

Despite only picking one winner from 6 games last weekend I only ended the day £68.80 down.  The NAP at 19/10 (Charlton) was the only game that came in.  That makes it 16 out of 31 for NAPS.  Picking such high prices, and having my highest stake on the winner, got me out of jail.  This weekend sees the International fixtures taking place.  I will have a look at the International games as well as the two lower leagues, once again looking for value.  It is a shorter blog than normal with the lack of games.  Hopefully it will still prove a profitable one.

International – It is always difficult to spot good prices in the International fixtures.  Israel Vs Wales is the only fixture which offers a good price.  Wales are 29/10 (Boyle Sports) and I think this is a great price. Wales have lost 1 in 9.  However, Israel have won their last 4.  With Bale, Ramsey, Allen and Williams all fit, the Welsh should be able to put up a good fight.

Israel Vs Wales (29/10 Boyle Sports)

League One – There are several games in League One that I like the look of this week.  I have picked 5 games out and I am not going to allow the prices to put me off.

Chesterfield (Evens Ladbrokes) Vs Walsall

Crawley (19/10 William Hill) Vs Gillingham

Notts County (9/5 William Hill) Vs Scunthorpe

Peterborough (11/10 Bet 365) Vs Coventry

Rochdale (19/20 Bet 365) Vs Yeovil

Chesterfield and Walsall are both a bit hit and miss but I think with the home advantage to Chesterfield it should be enough.  Walsall have not been too bad at home over their last 6 league matches so I would proceed with caution but it is still worth a look.

Crawley, despite being 19th, Dean Saunders has worked wonders and the price is amazing taking all variables into consideration, this game is one to consider.

Notts County may seem a strange one but I am drawn in again by the fantastic price.  I am also going to make this game my NAP.  They have just got rid of their manager and Paul Hart takes charge.  They are at home to a Scunthorpe team who just got heavily beaten by Sheffield United.  Scunthorpe looked terrible and they will need to up their game if they are to get anything against County.

Peterborough are one of the best form teams in the league and I find the fact that they are odds against surprising.  Coventry will need to stop a team who have the bit between their teeth.  A win for Peterborough would further cement their position in the playoffs.

Rochdale are playing the bottom of the league, despite this the game still leaves a niggling doubt.  I still expect Rochdale to take all three points but I am not as confident with this game as I am some of the others.

League Two – I can't find anything in League Two that offers value or which makes me confident in putting any money down.

MY BETS

Chesterfield (Evens Ladbrokes) Vs Walsall – £25

Crawley (19/10 William Hill) Vs Gillingham – £50

Notts County (9/5 William Hill) Vs Scunthorpe – £75

Peterborough (11/10 Bet 365) Vs Coventry – £50

Rochdale (19/20 Bet 365) Vs Yeovil – £25

Israel Vs Wales (29/10 Boyle Sports) – £50

Treble and Doubles (4 bets) – Crawley, Notts County and Peterborough – £10 (Bet 365) to return £368.72.

GOOD LUCK!!!! 🙂

 

 

Betting Tips 21st March 2015

By | March 21, 2015

Last weekend started well with my early kick off NAP coming in, making it 15 out of 30 NAPS. A decent end to the day too with a nice profit of £99.10.  Hoping the run continues this weekend.

I will try a slightly different style of blog today.  I will give the matches I fancy and the bets (with prices).  MY BETS at the bottom will be the games where I am staking money.

Straight into it……..

Premier League – There are a few games this weekend to wet the appetite.  The problem is the price, whilst I expect them to win it seems that finding value is a bit more difficult.  There are 4 to go at here.

Newcastle Vs Arsenal (8/13 William Hill)

Southampton (1/2 Paddy Power) Vs Burnley

Stoke (5/4 William Hill) Vs Crystal Palace

Tottenham (8/13 Boyle Sports) Vs Leicester

The only game offering true value is the Stoke game.  They are great at home and look a solid outfit this season under Hughes.  Although they are up against a team in form I think they will have enough to overturn Pardew and his men.  Chelsea and Man City are the only teams to come away from the Britannia with victories.  Countering that statistic is the fact that Palace have only lost 1 of their last 6 on the road.  Confident of it being 2 from 7 though.

Whilst I fancy the others to win the only one I strongly fancy is Arsenal.  A London double pays 2.59 at Boyle Sports.  The fourfold is only a poultry 8.55 with best price (again) being Boyle Sports.

Championship – I have spotted 2 potential gems this weekend.  Both teams featured in a game which I bet on last weekend (sadly it lost).  I am tipping Blackburn and Charlton for success this weekend and the prices suggest that investing in them would be a good shout.

Blackburn (13/10 William Hill) Vs Brighton

Charlton (19/10 Boyle Sports) NAP Vs Reading

The price in the Blackburn match tends to reflect the fact that Brighton are a bit of a bogey team for Blackburn.  Blackburn suffered a home defeat to Brentford last time out but the away form of Brighton offers enough evidence to suggest they can shake off the hoodoo.

Reading have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 trips to The Valley.  Charlton will be looking to bounce back from their recent disappointing home defeat to Blackburn.

The double is 6.52 with Boyle Sports.

League One – Another couple of games to get our teeth into in League One, it seems more of a week for the punter this time round,more so than recent weeks.

Crewe (12/5 Bet 365) Vs Oldham

Sheffield United (7/10 William Hill) Vs Port Vale

Crewe have dreadful away form but reasonable home form. At this price I think they are worth a flutter, especially against an Oldham side who are struggling to muster up any points home and away.  I keep tipping Sheffield United as I think their fortunes have to turn.  The price isn't fantastic but I fancy them to pick up all 3 points and get their promotion push back on track.

League Two – Finally we look at the lower of the English Leagues.  We complete the hat trick of leagues with two teams tipped.

Southend (3/4 William Hill) Vs Cambridge United

Stevenage (37/40 Bet Victor) Vs Dagenham and Redbridge

In recent weeks I have been betting a lot in this league as I have liked the prices.  They have come from the unpredictability of results too though.  Both these teams are odds on but the double pays 5.08 with Victor.

MY BETS

Stoke (5/4 William Hill) Vs Crystal Palace – £25

Blackburn (13/10 William Hill) Vs Brighton – £50

Charlton (19/10 Boyle Sports) NAP Vs Reading – £75

Crewe (12/5 Bet 365) Vs Oldham – £25

Southend (3/4 William Hill) Vs Cambridge United – £50

Stevenage (37/40 Bet Victor) Vs Dagenham and Redbridge – £25

Lucky 15 – Blackburn, Charlton, Southend and Crewe – £3 returns £428.18 (Bet 365)

Good Luck:-)

 

Betting Tips 14th March 2015

By | March 14, 2015

A disappointing weekend last weekend with confidence, money and prices all affecting my decisions.  A loss of £125 despite tipping several big price winners.  It was the prices that had an effect on my staking and the bets I placed.  This is always a big hurdle to get over.  Having courage in your convictions is key.  NAPS are now 14 out of 29.  With the bigger prices you need to get less right each time to be in profit.  You only need 1 out of 3 picks at 2 to 1 to break even, last weekend I tipped Forest (2/1), Port Vale (23/10) and Dagenham (16/5) and I only backed one of them and that was as Draw No Bet. 🙁

This week I will just continue looking for value and bet with what I think rather than letting the pries put me off.

Premier League – There are only 6 games this week in The Premier League and nothing tickles my fancy on the Saturday.  Sunday pits Chelsea against Southampton and I fancy them to bounce back from their PSG disaster but at just 8/13 (Bet 365) I can't be placing money on them.  Man Utd are also 19/20 (William Hill) at home to Spurs and anyone who takes this price needs their head looking at, awful price.  Paddy Power are offering a free £25 bet in running if you place a £25 pre match bet.  It is worth having this but my money will not be on Man Utd.  The Monday game offers similar shocking value for Liverpool who are 21/20 (William Hill) away to Swansea.  Nothing on the Premier League this week.

The Championship – The early kick off pits Middlesbrough NAP against Ipswich.  Boro have a great home record and matched by Ipswich's poor away form I like the look of a home victory.  Boro like to leave it late so it may be close but 10/11 for Boro is a nice price (William Hill).  Birmingham Vs Huddersfield was another home win that tempted me and at 5/4 (Victor) it is a very tempting price but something is steering me away from it.  Charlton are 12/5 (Bet365) at home to Blackburn.  Blackburn leak goals and Charlton are free scoring so I think the price is excellent.  For the more cautious, draw no bet is still a great 11/10 (Paddy Power).

League One – Port Vale at home to Swindon are 100/30 (Boyle), Port Vale or Draw 10/11 (Bet365) and 2/1 for Draw No Bet (most firms).  Port Vale had a recent set back at home to Oldham but I think the price makes this worth while.  Preston are rampant and should walk over Crewe but 2/5 (Bet 365) is not enough to tempt me.  I like the look of MK Dons away to Walsall as I don't see them losing 3 on the trot 13/10 (Sporting Bet) is a tempting price.  The 13/10 is a good price as they are as short as 11/10 with a lot of firms.

League Two – Burton at 20/23 (Boyle Sports) at home to Accrington.  Burton have something to prove after their recent one nil defeat to Accrington on the road.  They are top of the league but a defeat today could see them slip to third, I can't see Jimmy Floyd allowing that to happen.  Northampton are at home to Tranmere and at 23/20 (William Hill) I see this as a great price, I seem to back against Tranmere a lot but this is not a vendetta.

My Bets

Middlesbrough – 10/11 – £100 (William Hill)

Charlton, Draw no Bet – 11/10 – £50 (Paddy Power)

Port Vale or Draw – 10/11 – £50 (Bet365)

MK Dons – 13/10 – £25 (Sporting Bet)

Burton – 20/23 – £75 – 20/23 (Boyle Sports)

Northampton – 23/20 – £75 – (William Hill)

Lucky 15, Doubles, Trebles and Fourfold 15 bets @ £2.50 (Boyle Sports) All straight wins Charlton, MK Dons, Burton, Northampton – returns £275.33

Lucky 15, Doubles, Trebles and Fourfold 15 bets @ £2.50 (Boyle Sports)  All straight wins Charlton, Port Vale, Burton, Northampton – returns £467.90

Trebles, Fourfold and Acca 16 bets @ £2.50 (Boyle Sports) The above except Boro – returns £487.56

Here is to a joyous Saturday.  All the Best.

COME ONNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN!!!!

 

Football Betting Tips 7th March

By | March 6, 2015

Finally it feels like I am back heading in the right direction,a nice £275.27 profit for the weekend and one result off of a bumper payout.  The shorter blog didn't hinder the performance and a slight tweak in the way I picked teams was profitable last weekend and also midweek.  This weekend I am going for more of the same sort of analysis.  If it continues to pay well then I will reveal the things I look for in a few weeks.  Burton suffered a one nil defeat at home but the rest of the teams produced good results.

I have now made it to a fifty fifty of NAPS with 14 from 28.  I am confident we can make that 15 from 29 this weekend with FA CUP action taking place.  There is only one game in the Premier League which I won't be getting involved in.

For horse racing punters there are some good offers around for Cheltenham with bookies offering money back for new and existing customers.  The free bets apply to the Tuesday day of Racing.  Skybet and William Hill are offering money back as a free bet on all losing bets of the Supreme Novices' (upto £25).  Whilst Paddy Power are offering money back as a free bet if Douvan (6/4) wins (upto £50).  Paddy Power also offer money back as a free bet if Un de Sceaux (4/7) wins the Arkle (upto £50).  All offers apply to the win part of the bet only.

Back to this weekends football.  There are only 3 games missing in the Championship and 1 in League 1, so plenty to go at.

FA CUP – I won't be placing any money on the cup this weekend as the Saturday games are tough to call.  Liverpool should be too much for Blackburn but at 1/3 the odds are far too short.  Manchester United to beat Arsenal on Monday at 6/4 (Bet 365) is the only consideration.  Don't go too crazy on it though as it could quite easily be a replay or Arsenal could scrape it (covering all options).  If I am thinking like then then it would really only be worth backing at 2/1 or better.

The Championship – I like the look of Forest, at home, to beat Boro at 2/1 (Coral).  Freedman has turned the club around but I am not confident enough to put any money on them.  Far too tricky a league to be betting in this weekend.  There are a few games involving the lower placed teams but the value is just not there.  AVOID!

League One – I did consider Port Vale away to Coventry at 23/10 (Bet 365) but I just can't bring myself to go through with it.  The fact Port Vale are away and they are not amazing away from home is a big deciding factor.  Huge game at the top with MK Dons hosting Preston, get out the three sided dice.  Finally we get on to the first bet of the weekend.  Sheffield United NAP are at home to Fleetwood and at 8/11 (Coral) I strongly fancy them to take all 3 points.  They have lost just one in the last 7 games and whilst they haven't been outstanding they seem to keep nicking results.  They were leading until the 88th minute midweek but Posh managed to grab two late goals to snatch victory at 300 to 1 in running.

League Two – This is a tricky league to predict but the value odds are around these parts.  With slim pickings in the other leagues this weekend I hope I can unearth some treasures here…..  Portsmouth away at 7/5 (Ladbrokes) to Accrington offers reasonable value, but again it is the away team factor which puts me off this one.  Luton to beat Morecambe at home is bet number 2.  They are odds on at some firms but Bet 365 are offering 11/10.  Luton are woeful away but have a good home record.  Despite losing 3 from their last 4 these were all on the road.  The biggest puzzle for me and some bizarre odds comes from the final game I looked at.  Tranmere are even money at home to Dagenham and Redbridge.  I just can't see how this can be, it makes Dagenham and Redbridge a mouth watering 16/5 with William Hill.  Draw no bet is 2 to 1 (William Hill) and Dagenham or the draw is 17/20 (Betway).  I love the price of this game, and the smart money suggests Draw no Bet here.

MY BETS

Sheffield United – £100 – 8/11 with Coral

Luton – £75 – 11/10 with Bet 365

Dagenham and Redbridge, Draw No Bet – £50 – 2/1 with William Hill

£50 Treble (10.71, William Hill) of the above 3

Not too many to go at this weekend but no point picking them for the sake of it, something I may have been slightly guilty of in the past.

Hoping for another profitable week,

GOOD LUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!