William hill accumulator

By | August 8, 2014

First one of the season.
Ryan had Forest and Boro.
Ben had Preston and Fulham
Matt had Wigan and Derby


£30 accumulator returns £921.39. More about the William Hill accumulator here

Football is back!

By | August 8, 2014

As the excitement of the new football season builds, I have had a long hard look at where the winners and losers will come from in the short and long-term.

Firstly, I have had a look at the long running season bets out there. Now for those who lack patience it's not always easy to wait until the end of the season to collect, but with some great value out there, you would be silly not to.

This time last year I picked out Wolves to win league 1 (4-1) and laid Manchester United to make the top 4 (1.3) both of which turned out to be nice little earners whilst also adding to the interest in these markets throughout the season.

So what value is there this season? Well the premier league is perhaps the most open it's been for some years with Chelsea (19-10 with PP), Manchester City (5-2 with Hills) and Arsenal (7-1 with coral) looking stronger than ever it will be an open contest in my opinion, although I fancy Chelsea to win, those odds are too slim for me. The bet I do like however would be Manchester United on a back to lay basis (5-1 with betfair). United couldn't of hand picked a better set of opening fixtures to bed their new formation and tactics in and I expect by November time they will be sitting pretty at the top of the league. This would offer the opportunity to lay for a tidy profit, but with the other 4 big clubs having the worry about the champions league, United maybe able to do as Liverpool did last season and make the most of their sole focus in the Premier League and run the others close if not pip them.

Away from the PL there is even better value for money. The Championship is as competitive as ever, but with this comes some great prices. My 2 teams to follow here would be Derby and Nottingham Forest. Both teams were in the running last season, with Derby suffering play- off misery and Forest fading away as injuries destroyed any chance they had of a challenge. Both have strengthened in the summer and have squads that will challenge for the title. Derby are 8-1 favourites and Forest 18-1 is a huge price in my opinion. Where perhaps the better option comes however is with the promotions market as this offers 3 opportunities for a winner (2 automatic and play-offs) and at 6-1 with coral I think Forest is a great bet for promotion.

League 1 is similar to that of the championship in terms of competitiveness and value. Sheffield United, Leyton Orient and Preston would be my top 3 this season coming, with Leyton Orient the pick of the 3 for promotion. They have had fresh investment from a very wealthy owner and with the signings of McAnuff and Henderson are adding to an already strong side, which is capable of going on strong runs of form. This season with the promotion of Wolves and Brentford I fancy Orient to take the league (10-1) but would back promotion at 7-2 as the safer option.

1st bet: Manchester United to win PL £25 5-1 Betfair (back to lay)

2nd bet: Nottingham Forest to gain promotion £20 6-1 (Corals)

3rd bet: Leyton Orient to gain promotion £30 7/2 888.com

The second area to look at on the eve of the opening fixtures is indeed where the winners and value is within these matches. Now we all know that early season form can be very hard to pick but I've always looked for 2 key things; last seasons momentum and the clubs transfer dealings. On this basis I've picked out a single and a treble to wet the appetite.

My single will be Wigan to beat Reading (Evs with Hills and Betfred). Wigan reached the play-offs although they faded once getting this place they have very much a settled squad with in Uwe Rosler a top up and coming manager. On the counter, Reading have had a woeful summer with the club in financial trouble they have lost many of last years top players and are struggling to play the players wages.

First bet Wigan win £50 evs with Betfred

The second bet combines some skinny odds with a team that was almost my bet of the day. Fleetwood come with great momentum from last season and also having strengthened their squad will be too strong at home to a Crewe side who often struggle away from home (evs for single). To this I'm adding Forest (1-3) and Preston (8-13). Forest are at home to a last minute assembled Blackpool side that they look certain to put to bed. Whilst Preston take great form from last season to a home game against a Notts County team who struggled to maintain their league 1 status last season.

2nd bet: £20 treble Preston, Fleetwood and Forest (4.31 with Hills).

Good luck.


Saturday 9th August 2014

By | August 7, 2014

It seems like an eternity ago since the World Cup.  Now it is time to concentrate on the domestic scene.  It is always tricky at the start of the season but I am willing to jump in with both feet rather than just dipping my toe.

I have had a look at all the games that are taking place this weekend.  I am going to give tips that I think offer value.  Whilst I think Forest are going to comfortably beat Blackpool, writing about it on here at 1/3 seems pretty pointless.  If I felt confident they would win at a canter then I would look at an overs goals market or a handicap bet for better value.

NAP of the weekend

MIDDLESBROUGH (5/6 Paddy and Ladbrokes) to beat Birmingham

Middlesbrough have looked to Spain for some signings with the most significant being Enrique Garcia (Kike) from Real Murcia for 3.5 million euros.  His goal scoring record is roughly about 1 every three games.  Birmingham had a terrible end to the season and were lucky to avoid relegation.  Their pre-season has consisted of some confidence boosting games against lower league teams.  They have performed well but it is a different story when thrown back into the league situation.  Birmingham have seen 11 new additions to their team.  They will need time to gel.


Exeter Vs Portsmouth – Under 2.5 Goals (5/6 Boyle Sports, 4/5 Victor and Stan James)

I contemplated going for Portsmouth as I fancy them for the league but I think this may be a tentative affair at the start of the season and it could go either way.  Whilst Exeter only managed one win in 4 games, and just 6 goals in total, they did play Reading and Swansea with narrow defeats.  Portsmouth are often free flowing in games and this was continued in their friendlies.  I think that the opening day will make both teams cautious in this game.


Rochdale Vs Peterborough- Over 2.5 Goals (20/23 Victor)

Peterborough need to shrug off their play off final defeat.  They have had a steady unbeaten pre-season and have been scoring goals freely scoring 12 and conceding 8.  Rochdale have the same GS and GA but over 6 pre-season games.  There should be goals in this one.


Speculative Doubles and Treble

Middlesbrough to win (5/6 Paddy and Ladbrokes), Portsmouth to win (7/5 Victor and Coral) and Peterborough to win AND Both Teams to Score (15/4 Boyle Sports and 18/5 Coral) – The treble pays 20.35 at Boyle Sports and 19.44 at Betway.  The worst double pays 4.32 at Betway and 4.28 at Boyle Sports.



Middlesbrough £75

Exeter vs Portsmouth – Under 2.5 goals £25

Rochdale vs Peterborough – Over 2.5 goals £50

Speculative Doubles and Trebles (above) – 4 bets @ £6.25 each

Total Bets £175


Season Long Bets

By | August 1, 2014

League Winners

After narrowly missing out last season, I am going to have a little punt on the league winners again.  My choices last year were Manchester City, Queens Park Rangers, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Chesterfield.  The slump in form for Harry Redknapp’s men cost me dear.

This season I have picked

Manchester City (12/5)

Fulham (9/1)

Sheffield United (5/1)

Luton Town (9 /1)

All Prices are best with Coral or Paddy Power and the accumulative odds are a whopping 2039/1.


Premier League

Manchester City (again).  I am finding it hard to look past Manchester City as they seem very strong in every position.  Despite their financial constraints I still think they have enough to win the league again.

Arsenal finally won a trophy last season and I think their big spending (currently most in Premier League) will serve them well.  Alexis Sanchez is a good acquisition and they cannot be overlooked.  They score goals from all over the park and they never went more than one game without scoring, they have goals in them.  I give them a decent outside chance and they would be my second pick for the title (13/2 at most bookies).

Liverpool have lost their main player and, despite spending in excess of £70 million, I feel they have not done enough exceptional business in the transfer market to convince me they can be serious title contenders. Victor offers the best value at 12/1 but I am still not tempted.

Manchester United are having a good pre season and LVG seems to have a good aura about him.  I still think they have a long way to go before they can be considered serious title contenders.  5/1 at most bookies seems far too skinny for me.

Chelsea’s chances have been given a boost by the signing of Fabregas but I am still yet to be convinced by Costa.  His performance in the World Cup should be a concern for Chelsea fans and the team will have to fit round him if he is to succeed.  If Mourinho wasn’t the manager of Chelsea I don’t think they would be favourites for the league.  He is the “Special One” but I don’t think he has enough to lead them to the title this season.  19/10 favourite’s best price with Bwin offers no value for me whatsoever.

I can’t see any of the other Premier League teams having a chance of clinching the title or even achieving a top four finish.  The bookies fancy Tottenham to have the best chance of a top 4 finish, but at 7/2 (Bet 365) I will most certainly be keeping my money in my pocket on this one.


First Manager to Leave Post

After receiving the backing from the board I am surprised to see Big Sam as the comfortable favourite to be the first manager to leave post.  I will be laying him on Betfair.  As I write he is 2.6 to back.  The end of season form was not great for West Ham but astute signings should see him avoid the chop first.

If you would rather back than lay then a few picks are the three behind Big Sam.  Alan Pardew, Alan Irvine (12/ 1 with Victor) and Paul Lambert (10/1).


Premier League Top Scorer

This is always a nice market to keep your interest.  However, my interest slightly waned last season after backing the injury prone Robin Van Persie.  RVP is favourite to be top scorer this season under the new leadership of LVG (the Dutch love a three letter acronym).  At 9/2 with most bookies I think it is far too skinny.  There is plenty of talent around and if you are looking for some value then Lukaku (20/1) or Bony (28/1 365) might be worth a punt.  For the serious money it would be hard to look past Sturridge (6/1) with Victor.  I think he will step up to the plate now serial biter Suarez has moved on.

Paddy Power offer an incentive on this market by offering a £2 free bet every time your player scores a goal.  It is worth noting that the prices they are offering are sometimes not as good as competitors because of this.

2014-08-01 12_49_05-Premier League Top Goalscorer Betting Odds _ Football Betting _ Oddschecker

top goal scorer odds 2014/15 season as of 1st August


Terms and Conditions – for top scorer bet.



Whilst Fulham aren’t the bookies first choice I make them mine (9/1).  Big spending on Ross McCormack will certainly help them spring back into the Premier League.  Cardiff (8/1 Paddy) and Derby (8/1) are the bookies choices to triumph.  If it was a choice of these two then I would go for Derby, their form at the end of last season was amazing and if it continues they will be a sure fire promotion side.

If you are looking for value then Blackburn (20/ 1 365) and Brighton (22/1 Coral) were two of the other two form teams at the end of last season and they offer some good value.  Blackburn are 13/2 (Victor) to get promoted and Brighton are 7/1 (Victor) to get promoted.  I certainly think that these prices are good enough to have a flutter.


League One

It is difficult for me to judge this league as I am a Sheffield United fan and I have a season ticket.  If we had kept Brayford and Coady (on loan) then I would be saying lump on us to win the league.  A great cup run and excellent form since Clough took over fills me with confidence.  A great win against Fenerbache and the team look ready.  I am not sure the odds (5/1) are good given the fact we lost two of our most influential players.  We have made a token bid for them so watch this space.  If we get them and the odds stay the same, LUMP ON.  If we don’t get them, the price isn’t good enough.

Peterborough to win the league offers better value (12/1 Ladbrokes).

Chesterfield to get promoted (9/1 365) might be a good outside chance and the price looks fairly reasonable.  They had a strong finish last season and teams that come up usually fair quite well.


League Two

This is probably the hardest of the leagues to pick.  Last season I was confident about Chesterfield.  This season I am not so sure.  Luton dominated the Conference last season and the bookies fancy them to have a chance this season to go straight up again (9/1 Ladbrokes).  I have opted for Luton too but Portsmouth were a close second (8/1 Betway).  I don’t fancy the chance of relegated side Shrewsbury (11/1 Betway) and am surprised by Bury (17/2 888).

For an outside punt I would be tempted with Northampton.  They finished the season very strongly and at 20/1 (Skybet), they should not be overlooked.  Northampton are 5/1 (Skybet) for promotion.