Arsenal vs Hull Betting tips and other thoughts

By | February 19, 2016

This weekend sees the return of the FA Cup. These fixtures are trickier than the usual weekend fixtures as you are not sure which team is actually playing and which teams actually want to win.

Saturday 20th February 2016
Arsenal (1.6) Draw (4.25) Hull (7.1)

Looking at this game, you'd think the odds on Arsenal were generous. Hull would be towards the bottom of the league so something like 1.3 on an Arsenal win would be expected. So why double the odds? I think its because Wenger will be resting players in anticipation of Barcelona on Tuesday. If they lose that, the tie is pretty much over.

Hull look like they are rotating the squad too. Without a doubt, Arsenal would be even money if Hull put out their full team too. But as they are top of the Championship, promotion is much more of a priority than getting to the next round of the FA Cup.

I'm avoiding this game but if I had to bet, I'd be on Hull + 1 on the Asian Handicap. Its 1.88 at Bet365. You get your money back if Hull lose by exactly one goal. You win if its a draw or Hull win.

None of the other games on Saturday interest me.

Sunday 21st February 2016

Chelsea (1.95) Draw (3.8) Man City (4.3)

This is the main game on Sunday. I expect Chelsea to win this one. City come off the back of 2 losses which has almost killed off their Premiership dream. They are still in it but they are no longer favorites. City also have a game on Wednesday in Kiev which they must have half an eye on.

Chelsea played pretty well against PSG. I think they were were actually unlucky to lose that one. Another day that could have easily been a draw or Chelsea win. This is really the only chance of silverware this year for Chelsea and I expect them to go for it.

The Chelsea win is 1.95 at Bet365

Monday 22nd February 2016
Shrewsbury (9.5) Draw (5.5) Man Utd (1.42)
Shrewsbury knocked out Sheffield Wednesday last time round much to my annoyance. Being near the bottom of league one, you'd have expected them to get beat by Wednesday. They somehow managed to win 3-2 though.

Man U have dipped in form recetly. After that 3-0 win over Stoke and 1-1 draw at Chelsea you thought they might have turned the corner. However, away losses to Sunderland and Danish club FC Midtjylland makes me wonder. Van Gaal is always under pressure and no doubt they'll be calls for his head if they don't win this.

Top price is currently 1.42 at 10bet.

PSG vs Chelsea 16th February Tips and Offers

By | February 15, 2016

On paper this should be a home banker. I don't understand odds here. You have a team what is 24 points ahead of its second place rival in the French league vs a team which is mid table in the Premier League.

PSG rested players at the weekend and had their 16 match winning run come to an end with a 0-0 draw. Nothing to be ashamed of. Chelsea on the other hand, thrashed Newcastle 5-1 but Newcastle are relegation candidates and aren't the greatest. Still not convinced about the Chelsea side, they have quality but keep blowing hot and cold. Chelsea have never been great away from home in the Champions League either.

Since the prices came out, the odds on PSG have drifted out. I was expecting something along the lines of 1.5. At Bet365 they are 1.7. Not only that, they are doing their in running offer.

Place a pre-match bet on the PSG v Chelsea game and we'll give you a risk free In-Play bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the big match. T&Cs apply.

To qualify for your risk free In-Play bet, simply place a bet before kick-off then, once the game starts, place another bet on any In-Play market. If your FIRST In-Play bet loses we will refund this stake, up to the same value as your largest pre-match bet (max refund £50). Where more than one In-Play selection is placed on the same bet slip, the risk free bet will be deemed to be the one which is first on the bet slip.

I really like the Bet365 offers. Its like a £50 free matched bet. If it loses, you get your money back.

Terms and Conditions
  1. This offer applies to bets placed on the PSG v Chelsea Champions League match, played on Tuesday 16th February 2016.
  2. Risk free bet value will be equal to the stake of your largest pre-match single bet placed on the PSG v Chelsea Champions League match, played on Tuesday 16th February 2016, up to a maximum of €50*. Pre-match bets that are fully or partly Cashed Out will not qualify for the offer, whether Cashed Out pre-match or In-Play. The largest pre-match bet that has not been fully or partly Cashed Out will qualify (up to €50*).
  3. Risk free bet will be deemed your first single bet placed In-Play on the PSG v Chelsea Champions League match, played on Tuesday 16th February 2016. If your first single In-Play bet is fully or partly Cashed Out, you will no longer be eligible to receive this offer.
  4. Note that ‘pre-match' is defined as bets placed prior to kick-off of the PSG v Chelsea Champions League match, played on Tuesday 16th February 2016 and ‘In-Play' is defined as any bet struck after the game has kicked off.
  5. Both your pre-match and In-Play bets must be paid for in the usual way. If your risk free bet loses, your stake will be refunded to your account within two hours of the end of the game. Maximum risk free bet per customer is €50*.
  6. Where more than one In-Play selection is placed on the same bet slip, the risk free bet will be deemed to be the one which is first on the bet slip.
  7. This offer only applies to bets placed via desktop, mobile or tablet. Bets placed using our Telephone Betting service will not qualify for this offer.
  8. Where any term of the offer or promotion is breached or there is any evidence of a series of bets placed by a customer or group of customers, which due to a deposit bonus, enhanced payments, free bets, risk free bets or any other promotional offer results in guaranteed customer profits irrespective of the outcome, whether individually or as part of a group, bet365 reserves the right to reclaim the bonus element of such offers and in their absolute discretion either settle bets at the correct odds, void the free and risk free bets or void any bet funded by the deposit bonus. In addition bet365 reserve the right to levy an administration charge on the customer up to the value of the deposit bonus, free bet, risk free bet or additional payment to cover administrative costs. We further reserve the right to ask any customer to provide sufficient documentation for us to be satisfied in our absolute discretion as to the customer's identity prior to us crediting any bonus, free bet, risk free bet or offer to their account.
  9. All customer offers are limited to one per person, family, household address, email address, telephone number, same payment account number (e.g. debit or credit card, NETeller etc), and shared computer, e.g. public library or workplace. We reserve the right to withdraw the availability of any offer or all offers to any customer or group of customers at any time and at our sole and absolute discretion. Offers only apply to customers who have made an actual/real money deposit with bet365.
  10. bet365 reserves the right to amend, cancel, reclaim or refuse any promotion at its own discretion.
  11. This offer is only available to customers residing in UK and Republic of Ireland.
  12. All bet365 offers are intended for recreational players and bet365 may in its sole discretion limit the eligibility of customers to participate in all or part of any promotion.

With the in running bet, I always go with something a bit speculative. I think something like 2-0 is a good bet. Seems a waste to place it on something with low odds. My bet to qualify for the in running bet is going to be PSG to win.

Premiership football tips 13/14 February

By | February 12, 2016

A very tricky season so far so great for the bookies. I've picked out a few this weekend that have some value.

Sunderland (5.5) Draw (3.82) Man Utd (1.8)
This game is of interest mainly because of Adam Johnson. He's no longer playing. Given whats happened and he's one of Sunderland best players, I can see there being a lot of value opposing Sunderland. Manchester United have been blowing hot and cold. They were hot last week at Chelsea and unlucky to have not won all 3 points. Even at 1.8 I think Manchester United are a great price to a Sunderland team who are not only in the relegation zone but also have other things on their mind.

Everton (1.57) Draw (4.4) West Brom (7.5)
Everton come off the back of 2 3-0 wins. They hope to make this a hattrick of wins. I can't see why not. They've been threatening to boil over all season but just haven't delivered yet. West Brom aren't in great form and come off a 1-0 defeat to Newcastle. Overall form has been dire against teams around the bottom.

Chelsea (1.47) Draw (4.85) Newcastle (8.1)

Chelsea didn't play great against Manchester United last week. They were really lucky to get the draw. Thats all they seem to be doing recently. 4 draws out of the last 5 Premiership games. I think that the win at Arsenal would have been a draw too if it was 11 vs 11. Newcastle are hovering above the relegation zone but they give any team a good game. Odds on this game are ridiculous. Certainly on form the home team should be about even money. Given the odds, I think the draw at 4.85 is a great bet.

Arsenal (1.8) Draw (4.25) Leicester (5)
Possibly a title decider. I think if Leicester win they will win the Premiership. On current form, the odds are just crazy. Leicester come off the back of beating the previous favorites 3-1. Its not like it was a smash and grab win, they deserved it. They let Man City have all the possession but were ruthless with the counter attack. Arsenal have gone off the boil and a 2-0 win at a struggling Bournemouth doesn't make me think they should be odds on favorite to beat the top of the table. I am on Leicester this week at a great price.

Turn £5 into £368 with our weekend European accumulator

By | January 28, 2016

For this weekend’s European accumulator, we have selected games from the English FA Cup, Spanish La Liga, and Italian Serie A that could see you winning £368 off a £5 bet!

SATURDAY

English FA Cup
Arsenal v Burnley

Arsenal are big favourites to see past Burnley and return to winning ways after a trying couple of weeks. Burnley won’t lie down, however, having picked up a couple of wins on the road ahead of this weekend’s clash. Nevertheless, Arsenal will name a strong side to get a result in their own backyard, and their impressive home form should see them edge this one.

Home Win @ 7/17 (1.41)

West Brom v Peterborough

West Brom should have no problems against Peterborough when the two sides lock horns at the Hawthorns on Saturday. The home side are hard to beat in their own backyard, and are expected to name a strong eleven to get the job done to reach the next round without another replay. Peterborough are two divisions below their opposition and could struggle as the travelling side, so it’s hard to see an upset in this one.

Home Win @ 4/6 (1.67)

Italian Serie A
AS Roma v Frosinone

AS Roma have been dropping points in recent weeks by picking up far too many draws. However, they will be looking to take advantage of Frosinone’s woeful form when the two sides meet in the Serie A this weekend. Victory would ensure they wouldn’t be overtaken in fifth place, while confining Frosinone to a place in the relegation zone.

Home Win @ 1/4 (1.25)

Carpi v Palermo

Carpi have won consecutive home games ahead of Saturday’s Serie A clash with Palermo, and are favourites to pick up all three points given the poor form of the visitors. Palermo have lost three of their last four away games, while struggling for goals on the road too. As a result, Carpi could well come out on top this weekend.

Home Win @ 4/3 (2.33)

Spanish La Liga
Villarreal v Granada

Villarreal should have no problems picking up all three points when they host Granada in the Spanish La Liga this weekend. The home side are coming off the back of four wins and two draws from their last six, and face a Granada outfit that have lost their last three away games in the division. This should be a home banker.

Home Win @ 1/2 (1.50)

SUNDAY

Spanish La Liga
Sevilla v Levante

Sevilla are in fantastic form ahead of Sunday’s La Liga meeting with Levante, and are hoping to comfortably dispatch of their opposition to boost their pursuit for a top-four spot in the table. Having won three of their last five in the league, Sevilla should have no problems against a Levante side bottom of the league and coming off the back of three consecutive away defeats.

Home Win @ 2/5 (1.40)

Valencia v Sporting Gijon

Valencia are coming off the back of an away win in the Copa Del Rey to reach the semi-final, and they will be looking to build up some momentum to get a result against strugglers Sporting Gijon this weekend. With the visitors having lost seven on the bounce away from home, Valencia can have little excuse if they fall short.

Home Win @ 3/4 (1.75)

Real Madrid v Espanyol

Real Madrid are expecting a convincing win against Espanyol this weekend with Zinedine Zidane’s men boasting a nearly perfect record on home soil this season, while their opponents have lost seven away games in a row. And with Real averaging less than one foal conceded at the Santiago Bernabeu, they could well win with a clean sheet on Sunday.

Home Win to Nil @ 10/11 (1.91)

Italian Serie A
Torino v Verona

Torino are hoping to edge a win against Verona when the two sides lock horns in the Serie A on Sunday. The home side are picking up points in their own backyard, albeit at times unconvincingly, but the poor form of Verona – winless away from home in the league this season – is likely to see Torino come out on top.

Home Win @ 8/15 (1.53)